Trust me, seriously.
Wait you still don't want to believe? Spoken like a true Warriors fan.
Well, maybe the news of Bogut's return will help you believe. If Bogut comes back healthy and can provide stats similar to his career averages:
PER TS% eFG% ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% ORtg DRtg
17.0 .538 .523 9.7 24.0 16.6 12.0 1.1 3.8 14.4 19.2 106 104
The Warriors will be adding a weapon on both ends of the floor at their biggest position of need, severely bolstering their starting line-up and bench and giving coach Mark Jackson many more line-up options between the 4 and 5.
If this were to happen, how far do you see the Warriors going? Are they a legitimate title contender? Will they sputter in the 2nd round?
I legitimately believe that the addition of a healthy and effective Bogut makes the Warriors a title contender. They instantly become a distinctly better defensive and offensive team (which I must remind you are already top-10 in the NBA).
Some may argue they don't have a "star" or a go-to scorer, which is a relatively valid point. But the Warriors would be the 2nd deepest team in the NBA behind the Clippers and Steph Curry and David Lee are playing star-level basketball.
What do you think?
*Pythagorean Wins; the formula is G * (Tm PTS14 / (Tm PTS14 + Opp PTS14)). The formula was obtained by fitting a logistic regression model with log(Tm PTS / Opp PTS) as the explanatory variable. Using this formula for all BAA, NBA, and ABA seasons, the root mean-square error (rmse) is 3.14 wins. Using an exponent of 16.5 (a common choice), the rmse is 3.48 wins.